The Point Four-ward: The Unofficial Stretch Run
2015-02-18Four points I’m thinking about the Cleveland Cavaliers as they pick back up after the All-Star break…
1.) You may have read the following comment from LeBron James following Sunday’s All-Star Game and raised your eyebrows just a bit.
Asked about his aggressive first quarter of the showcase game (in which he scored 15 points on 6-9 shooting in eight-plus minutes) James said:
It’s my obligation and my responsibility to go out there, if I’m feeling 80 percent or 85 percent or 90, to go out there and give my fans something. Give my fans what they wanted to see. And hopefully I did that.
The good news is that James viewed himself at somewhere between 80-90 percent on a day where he was still looking at several days off before picking the season back up again on Friday night. He also threw out those percentages after he’d scored 30 points on 11-21 shooting with five rebounds and seven assists in a performance that would have surely netted James the game MVP award had the East not fallen to the West 163-158.
So, 80-90 percent of LeBron James is still pretty darned good.
2.) The bad, of course, is that James, nursing nagging injuries to his knee, back and wrist, still views himself as being at less than full strength. It’s usually a bit closer to the playoffs when NBA veterans start taking up the “no one is 100 percent at this point in the season” torch, so James’ gauge of his own relative health comes across a bit more like candor than spin. He is still hurting (to some degree) and both he and the Cavs will have to continue to manage that situation.
The Cavs will need him as close to that 90 percent mark if they, as many All-Star break prognosticators suspect, really have turned the corner and are now legitimate championship contenders.
In other good news, though, James spent time in Miami again this week — and we all know how well his last South Beach sabbatical worked out for the Cavs.
What Cavs fans are really waiting to see come Friday’s game against the Wizards is if the week off not only gave Kevin Love’s injured eye enough time off, but also righted whatever ailments (his back, mostly) many have pointed to as contributing to the power forward’s overall struggles this season.
3.) There are roughly two months and exactly 27 game remaining in the regular season. The Cavs immediate road gets a lot less cushy (and infinitely more interesting) than its Jan-Feb stretch of (much needed) softballs. That starts with the Wiz in Washington on Friday, followed by LeBron and Kyrie’s version of Groundhog Day when they wake up in NYC on a Sunday morning for the second week in a row (this time to face the Knicks). The Cavs then tie a bow on the month of February by visiting Detroit, hosting the league-leading Golden State Warriors and then visiting the Pacers of Indiana a week from Saturday.
Clearly, the two games you’ve circled on the Cavs 2014-15 schedule (presented by Discount Drug Mart) that you still insist on hanging on the back side of your bedroom door are the team’s visit to DC and next week’s hosting of the Dubs (well… the other Dubs, as I guess you could call the Wiz “the Dubs,” as well).
It’s been a couple of months now since we put a pin in the Cavs/Wizards attempt at renewing their Eastern Conference rivalry. So far, we’ve seen nothing to make us believe that we know all that much about how a post-season match-up between these two teams might go. The Cavs followed up a blow-out loss in Washington with a well-lubricated performance (and a win) in their rematch.
But the Wiz have been slipping just a bit (4-6 in their last 10) and they have yet to match up with the new-look Cavs. Of the Wizards advantages over the Cavs in previous meetings, the most striking has been their strength inside with Nene and Marcin Gortat. That advantage now has to, at least, be recalibrated with the emergence of Timofey Mozgov.
This one will be for sole ownership of the fourth seed in the East, folks.
Then, after the Cavs semi-sleep-walked through a loss in Chicago in the final game before the All-Star break, you’d think they might get up for a game at home against the Warriors, the other team (as mentioned in the link above) now leading the odds race for the title.
But more on that next week…
4.) In case you haven’t noticed, the Cavs still have a roster spot open and — while Ray Allen’s people have said that the 39-year old guard will be making his decision soon — a more pressing need for the team might be available even sooner.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been discussing a possible buy-out for oft-troubled, oft-suspended, oft-defensively praised center, Larry Sanders.
Should this happen, Sanders, whose general desirability has been well-covered by this blog and its readers, would immediately become the best big man available. But is he even a realistic target for the Cavs?
CtB’s own cap guru, Nate Smith, helped me out by weighing in with an explanation of… well, numbers. Here’s the crib sheet (as I understand it):
This Cavs team’s current salary of $81,604,221 is over both the league-wide salary cap of$63,065,000 and the luxury tax line of $76.829 million. That means that the team would be limited to offering a pro-rated minimum player salary to Sanders.
That’s probably only enough to bring Sanders into the fold if he and his agent feel that the Cavs are the perfect situation to rehabilitate his career. He wouldn’t have to start here. He’d get some minutes, some probably key minutes, and some probably key post-season minutes. All he’d have to do is show that he can temper down the crazy and contribute to a winning team.
Plus, Sanders would have just been given the bulk of his $44 million contract. So, he might not have to immediately chase the money.
“Almost all of the executives I’ve talked to believe he’s leaving Cleveland after this year.” – @Chris_Broussard
THOUGHTS?
I don’t think it’s true, but maybe I’m naive and hopelessly optimistic.
WHo is going to give him more than 52 million?
Who is the leaver in question?
Kevin Love. My bad. Also, more hearty discussion taking place on this topic on the newest blog post.
@StuJackson32: Sources confirm @pistons making pitch to @BrooklynNets for Joe Johnson for Brandon Jennings, @realtuffjuice @JonasJerebko and picks.
Is Dumars still running the show? Not sure why they’d want Joe Johnson? They just got rid of Josh Smith… Now they’re gonna bring in Joe? He’s better and probably a better fit than Smith but seems like a lateral move at its greatest. I get that they probably want to make the playoffs tho and Jennings is out till next year.
Joe Johnson is good. Or was last year.
@ESPNSteinLine: ESPN sources say Wolves and Nets have discussed deal to send Thad Young to Brooklyn in exchange for KG … who of course has no-trade clause
Say what?
He’s pretty average at this point. I wouldn’t give up players and picks for him if I’m the Pistons.
This is two separate messages one is about KG and the other in response to Cols re Joe Johnson.
I get the sentiment of the whole “retire as a T-Wolf” gesture that Minny is making… It doesn’t really make any sense business-wise since they could probably get something useful for Thad Young I would think…
Very strange…
I’m surprised Amare didn’t make a push for the WINE and Gold. We don’t only bathe in it but bleed it. Okay had to throw out that cheesy joke. I don’t want Amare.
This is pretty interesting from Nate ( Silver).
One of our favorite findings: The Golden State Warriors and Atlanta Hawks share a similar win-loss record, but they’ve taken different paths to get to that point. The Warriors have shown more dominance throughout games, often building early, insurmountable leads. The Hawks, in contrast, don’t pull away until the fourth quarter.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/every-nba-teams-chance-of-winning-in-every-minute-across-every-game/
This is fantastic:
http://grantland.com/the-triangle/which-nba-player-is-having-the-best-all-star-vacation/
It features TT, Shump, and this gem of a photo.
This is spectacular….
It’s good to be an NBA player on “spring break”
And TT is just BALLER! Dude knows how to go on vacation!
Wonder if Iman and Ewing got treated to merlot jacuzzis with Amare in Miami?
I’ve said it before, guys. If you use Facebook, you HAVE to like TT. He produces this kinda stuff all the time. Mostly he’s looking fly standing in his driveway, but it’s still awesome.
WHOA! TRISTAN, the player. Who knew? LoL
Appropo of nothing… does anyone think the Cavs will use their alternate blue unis at any other point in the season? Or were they just one and done with the opening loss to the Knicks?
i hope so, i like those better than the gold (really, yellow) ones, which are kinda boring
Agreed. Love the Blue.
Anyone seeing these Ray Allen rumors on Twitter? Any one got any real sources on this?
I’ve seen some people posting that he’s going to sign with the Cavs, but nothing from any legitimate source.
Yes, but I assume the sources they’re quoting are all Cols…
I’m hearing he may be in Cleveland today.
After his stop in Colorado to give Cols the news first in person…
Hardly definitive, but: http://defpenradio.com/report-ray-allen-seen-in-cleveland-decision-could-happen-soon/
Good pull Ross… We should all be on Cols freakout watch…
Another one from a questionable source…
http://thesportsmecca.com/nba/breaking-ray-allen-to-join-the-cavs/
Is it me or if the Cavs signed Ray Allen to fill their final roster spot the happiest people would be the Hawks and the Bulls? Well, besides Cols obviously.
I think our real hope now is Boogie Cousins and Karl hate each other so much we can use haywood to get him in the offseason. That would make me soil myself.
Hah. Cleveland cleared the cupboard of trade assets that could fetch boogie. But getting a guy another team wants to shed? That’s a real possibility. I made a list in Monday’s post. Could definitely see Channing Frye or Andre Iguodala on that list.
I don’t even know why we’d want him on the Cavs.
Because he’s the second best young big in the NBA after Anthony Davis. That’s why.
We’d literally win 3-4 straight title if we added him.
How are we going to pay all these guys?
I am going to take a controversial position and say that does not strike me as a “real hope” unless by “real” you mean “about as unlikely as anything that could possibly happen”. But they do have some more disposable pieces that could help the Cavs. Jason Thompson would be a really nice fourth big for this team but the Cavs have literally nothing to trade to take on his salary. Reggie Evans on the other hand is only making $1.7 mil and is just the kind of rental enforcer they could use on the bench. I say get him.
After reading Sam Amico’s chat, I have to say, the Cavs should tread very lightly. They have a good thing going right now, and adding a guy like Sanders could be like the Pacers adding Turner and Bynum last year. It just ruined their chemistry.
I completely agree. Honestly, my interest in Sanders if for next year, which is kind of dead now that they are buying him out. I don’t know if this year’s team can get enough playoff experience on the fly to win it all. I’ve always thought next year would be the year – expierience in Blatt’s system, team comfort, and the most important – playoff mentality after going through that crucible together. Its really hard to really get that your first time through.
Yep. Yep. Yep Yep Yep Yep Yep
can you post the link to amico’s chat?
I feel like all they need is a heady banger type who can give them 10 minutes a game and fill in as a spot rotation big if somebody gets dinged up. Like a Ronny Turiaf if he wasn’t broken into little pieces at the moment. Picking up Chris Andersen in 2013 won the Heat the title that year. I wouldn’t discount picking up a useful piece in the frontcourt as a driver for the title run. For the love of God, no Ray Allen. JR is better than 2015 Ray Allen, who is a very bad player who happens… Read more »
I completely disagree. Ray Allen can still play some defense (well he did last year). He’s still shooting at an incredible clip. He is what we were hoping Mike Miller and James Jones were going to be. I think we need Allen and a Big. Can we send someone to the D league? Do we flat out cut either Jones or Miller? We’re not looking for Allen to play 25 minutes a game. If he can come in and get 15 minutes and shoot 40% from the arc, stretch the floor, and not be a liability on defense, it’s a… Read more »
ESPNSteinLine Marc Stein
Latest out of PHX: Hear Miles Plumlee, made available by Suns last month, could well be attached to Dragic deal if firm trade materializes
Maybe Cuban can swing a deal for Dragic too? Lol
I like Dragic. I’d actually throw Delly into a Dragic trade if we get our depth big, too.
Dallas cautiously interested in Larry Sanders for minimum salary. Monta Ellis would have to give his blessing before they would seriously consider – Ellis and Sanders not best buds from Monta’s stint in Milwaukee.
How many roster spots do the Mavericks have? Like 17? Looks like Cuban found another loophole to exploit…
Apparently Kevin Martin either wants to stay in Minny or go to the Mavs. Is Marc Cuban really “Cuban”?
The current Mavs reminds me a lot of the mid and early 2000s Mavs where Mark Cuban would just keep adding names and the product on the floor didn’t really get any better – Stackhouse, Van Exel, LaFrentz, Walt Williams, Antawn Jamison, Antoine Walker, etc. etc. He’s a great owner and all, but he’s a bit of a brand whore.
We gotta get this guy. He could room with Josh Gordon. They could compete for most theoretical money they’ve cost themselves by being idiots.
Man… that would be one low-visibility room…
The sad truth is that the perfect 4th big for this team is…. Andy Varejao. Damn it. If he was healthy, I would be Cols-level optimistic.
But right now I can’t that Bulls game out of my head – with KLove out, we were hopelessly undersized. If TT, Moz, or KLove miss even 1 game in a 7 game series, its a huge deal.
They are 2-1 vs the Bulls this year. The Bulls flameout every year in the playoffs. They are not going to be a problem.
And yet unsurprisingly, you completely failed to engage Hot Sauce’s actual point which is without Varejao, we only have three legit bigs on our entire roster. We are woefully thin at PF and C. An additional injury among those three guys, leads the likes of James Jones playing 30 minutes as a small ball PF. IF you don’t think that would be a big deal in a playoff series against the Bulls, then you really are delusional.
Love, TT, Mozgov, Marion, and Haywood are just fine.
You can’t really count on Haywood… and Marion is not a PF. So that leaves you with Moz, Love and TT… That’s thin…
I 100% agree that if TT, Love, Mozgov are healthy, we have no worries.
But, again, watch that Chicago game. The balance of our team on O and D collapsed when we had to go to small ball lineups. Its an issue if any of those three miss even 1 game in the playoffs.
Yeah. So let’s get a 5-10 minute a game guy, not a headcase who is going to want tons of minutes like Sanders.
Agree with you there. I am anti-Sanders.
Yeah but think of how much fun we could have with Sanders… we could call him The Colonel and say things like his game is “finger-licking good”
Haywood had the best Shaqtin’ a fool pass of the year at home vs Houston.
Agree the Cavs need one more big for contingency purposes. They’re fine if everything goes smoothly in the playoffs, but there are no guarantees of that. I posted a list of possibilities, Monday (don’t know if you caught it).
Just checked it out. Very nice. You have all of the reasonable targets there. Henry Sims is kind of a sneaky idea. I always like him. But it is generally sad how thin the options are. Scares me.
The Wolves have brought up Anthony Bennett‘s name in trade discussions, league sources tell Darren Wolfson of 1500 ESPN Twin Cities (Twitter link), and they’ve been in pursuit ofKevin Seraphin, according to J. Michael of CSNWashington.com. It’s unclear if there’s any link between the Bennett talk and Minnesota’s attempts to trade for Seraphin. In any case, it’s unlikely that Seraphin will leave the Wizards, Michael adds, noting that he has a de facto no-trade clause and suggesting that it would make little sense from a basketball standpoint for Washington to part with the center.
Where will GumDropBear land next? Why do I have a sneaking suspicion it will be somewhere like Sacto where George Karl can haze him into quitting the game.
He’s going to be out of the NBA in two more years. Worst number 1 pick ever. Grant was terrible at his job.
The Wolves should be thanking God they were gifted Andrew Wiggins by a bizarre series of happenstances that broke in their dumb favor, because otherwise Flip Saunders has no idea what he is doing or wants to do.
The Bucks and Larry Sanders already have a deal on a buyout, reports Shams Charania of RealGM, who says the agreement has been in place for days (Twitter link). He’ll only receive $13MM of the money left on his four-year, $44MM contract, Charania adds. Sanders is in the first year of that pact.
He walked away from $31M?!!!!! I guess it was $20 mil. See below.
He must really not want to play for the Bucks…
Literally and figuratively…
Laughed a bit out loud
Maybe we can bring in Garry Shandling of the Larry Sanders Show and he can sit at the end of the bench and crack fart jokes with Miller and Jones?
I loved this joke! Anytime you can loop Gary Shandling into a CtB post, you gotta do it.
If the Cavs go after Larry Sanders, they definitely need to put Shandling on the payroll to keep things light…
Such a great show! Jeffrey Tambor may be one of the best comedy character actors of all time… Between Larry Sanders, Arrested Development and now Transparent…
Don’t forget his small but memorable part in the Hangover… and Archer!
Just looked over his resume. Didn’t realize he did so much cartoon voice over work. Guy’s got to be a pro to keep getting so many gigs.
Or his really early days in the ill-fated spin-off of Three’s Company… The Ropers…
Yes, a Ropers reference in 2015! I love this blog (looks at camera which zooms into my face while canned laughter plays in the background).
Pure speculation, but I doubt Larry Sanders is back in the NBA until next fall at the very earliest.
I agree with Nate.
yep.
Nate, you should bank this response… Maybe blow it up to poster size, frame it and hang it on your wall…
I would think the scenario painted by Robert above is a reason why LS would want to be on the Cavs to finish this season: If he plays a solid role with no problems, he has a chance for a very good contract from someone next year. If he sits out, he will not be able to put the “head case” image away, and it is not likely anyone will give him a big contract.
Any team that gives a guy with motivatiion issues who returned no value on a $44 million contract anything more than a minimum based on playing a bench role for 20 games deserves Larry Sanders.
Maybe foolish, but if Larry Sanders would say yes to the pro-rated minimum salary, count me in. If he proved to be a headache, couldn’t we just cut him with very little cap consequences if he was on the minimum salary. Not sure I see it is a real risk if that’s the case.
NO Larry Sanders. Head case big men suck.
Two words: Dennis Rodman. Headcase big who helped win titles for one Michael Jordan.
I think Cols must still be stinging from the Andrew Bynum experiment last year… otherwise I can see no rational explanation
You are looking for rational in Cols’ comments?
There’s always hope…
What? Larry Sanders IS a head case. For every Dennis Rodman there is a Josh Gordon.
There’s a trade study here but Cols is right. Dude isn’t stable.
He might be a headcase, but he has shown talent. The response was more in regards to Cols blanket statement that “head case big men suck.” Some do, some don’t.
In any event, the point is likely moot given Woj’s report today that Sanders is not looking to play with any NBA team for the rest of this season and will wait until next season. If that’s the case, then he’d be too expensive for the Cavs to afford anyway…