The Wood Shop: Quit Playing Defense Edition
2016-06-08During the Eastern Conference playoffs, the Cavs’ offense hit its stride. They passed the ball 279.5 times a game,which was average, and got 22.9 assists a night, which was second to only the Warriors, who got 25 a game. Their offense drained 25 3s in game two against Atlanta. That was the most threes in an NBA game. EVER. They averaged 14.4 long balls a night.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gWMkQEaKIgY
What was so astonishing about the Cavs though was that 8.2% of their rocket speed ball transfers resulted in baskets. That was third in the playoffs leading up to the Finals. Only 7.7 % of the Warriors passes resulted in baskets during that time.
Things have shifted in the Finals. 9.1% of the Warriors’ passes are turning into buckets (27.5 assists a game!). That percentage is higher than the leading team’s through the playoffs, the Thunder. The Cavs, meanwhile, are passing just 270.5 times a game and getting 16 assists. Just 5.9% (bottom five for the playoffs) of their passes result in points.
The Warriors’ offense is humming just as hard as it ever has. The Cavs’ defense did nothing to them. I repeat, nothing.
Golden State had 25 assists a game in the playoffs, pre-Finals. They had 110.9 points on 46.4% shooting, and hit 12.5 3s a game, pre-Finals. Through two games for the title, they have averaged 107 points on 51.8% shooting. And, 27.5 assists a game. Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson combined for just 20 points in game one and 35 points in game two. They averaged 52.9 ppg in the run up to the Finals. However, the Warriors’ bench showed up for game one and Draymond showed up in game two hitting five 3s. This team won 73 games for a reason.
The Warriors get their stats regardless of how their stars are playing. They will always put up right around 110 points. If the Cavs played less defense than they are now, how many more points would the Warriors really score. Seriously though? There are only so many possessions in a game. Could they score three hundred points in just 48 minutes?
So, if I’m Lue, I dial the defense back. I play it honest. No more switching. Trap but don’t kill yourself making the second, and if need be, third rotations.
Take all of the energy saved on the defensive end and apply it to the offensive end. Whip the ball around. Pass it so much I get sick of seeing the ball leave Kyrie Irving‘s hands. And, while the Cavs are at it, they should cut. Every single guy needs to move. They need to act as if they’re in that Crank movie where they die if their heart rate dips below 100. If one guy takes the Crank advice too seriously and needs to fight someone to keep his heart racing, so be it. Draymond Green probably has it coming anyways. They need to be extremely fast. Every time the ball gets brought up the floor, made basket or miss, guys should be sprinting.
In the first two games, the Cavs hunted for mismatches when the Warriors switched. If LeBron or Kevin Love had a smaller defender on them, the Cavs acted like they had to get the ball. It would take forever, because the Warriors are long and play the passing lanes. It doesn’t help either that most guys in the modern NBA don’t know how to throw post entry passes. By the time the ball ended up to the guy with the mismatch, the Cavs were playing 6-on-5 ball. The extra man being the shot clock.
With seven seconds left on the shot clock, the Warriors just shaded an extra guy towards the mismatch, and the Cavs didn’t even have time to get the ball zipping around the perimeter. They would pass it out, if they were lucky, or try to score, and the Warriors would make one rotation to force a poor shot. There wasn’t even time for the Cavs to force a second rotation.
In the play below, LeBron uses a J.R. Smith screen to get Klay Thompson covering him. He gives up the ball and tries to post. He gets the ball back with 11 seconds on the shot clock. The Warriors know he’s going to try and fight his way to the rim. Andrew Bogut rotates over and helps out Klay by blocking the King.
Cleveland needs to focus on the offensive end. How did they make the most 3s ever in an NBA game? They moved the ball. They weren’t predictable. Guys cut to the weak side of the floor. They sure weren’t hunting for mismatches entire possessions.
The Cavs are passing the ball nine less times a night since getting out of the Eastern conference. Each one of those passes equals roughly .77 of an assist that the Cavs aren’t getting. That number just points to Cleveland’s style issues. They aren’t looking to hit open shooters;the slight dip in passing when contrasted with the sharp dip in assists shows just that. They aren’t magically not making the crucial assist toss. They throw the ball around six times in a possession and end up in an isolation play (Fun fact, Zach Lowe said that the Cavs had more isolation plays in game one than they have in any game all season on his podcast with Brian Windhorst from June 7th).
Think about the Warriors’ defense right now. They might make three defensive rotations on one possession, but what about four? What about five? If the Cavs ran to the point of exhaustion an entire game on offense and forced the Warriors to rotate six times every possession, maybe Adam Silver would give them some free points for effort and they’d hit some 3s. I don’t know, but with the first two games playing out how they did, it’s worth it for the Cavs to find out. They aren’t going to defend the Warriors well enough to win with their current offensive output.
Hopefully, if they force Golden State to defend more than isolation plays and mismatches late in the shot clock, Golden State will tire out and not be able to score as easily. Sometimes your best defense is just your offense.
When I see this team stand around while LbJ or Kyrie are doing their thing, I wonder what the player standing around is feeling and thinking to himself.
The Dubs as a team enjoy their synergy. How do you beat that?
It’s not the synergy as much as it is the talent. They have the best shooter of all-time. They have maybe the 2nd best shooter of all-time. They have the perfect complimentary piece in Green. They have a healthy Bogut and an athletic freak in Barnes.
Think of all the things that had to happen to get this team together and healthy. The synergy helps and it’s what makes them great, but really the talent on that team and all healthy for so long is amazing.
They maximize their talents though. The cavs don’t. Not even close. They could, but they don’t now. The warriors are a better TEAM. We are not that far away talent wise. I think we have more talent than okc and okc pushed them to seven games. We don’t play as a team on offense or defense. The warriors play a style that requires constant off ball movement. That movement leads to a lot more easy shots for them than our style does for us. Do they occasionally hit crazy shots in isolation? Sure every decent team does. But they don’t… Read more »
Warriors were not that healthy in 2015-16 season regular and playoffs. Check the chart below, you can see they are somewhere in the middle and Cavs have been more healthy while OKC has been healthiest team this year.
https://twitter.com/mangameslostnba
Also, warriors missed their best player for quite a few games in playoffs and he was not 100% until end of conference finals.
Spot on analysis. All the pundits are saying that the Cavs’ only chance is going grit n’ grind and that trying to run with the Warriors has been a laughable fail. Thing is, we haven’t even been able to see the Cavs run n’ gun in this series because of sloppy execution and the W’s have been so good at getting back in transition.
These ain’t the 2015 Cavs. Gotta find a way to uncork that offense.
Yep. Slowing it down doesn’t work. The 2014 Spurs Finals games 3-5 model of shooting the good shot instead of working for the great shot is the model to follow.
Also:
“Think about the Warriors’ defense right now. They might make three defensive rotations on one possession, but what about four? What about five?”
And what about LeBron moving and screening and cutting without the basketball? I’m pretty sure the GS defense would have to have multiple guys cheating toward a cutting LeBron, and if they do that, it opens things up for swinging the ball and hitting open shots. And if they don’t move to help, LeBron will just need a quick entry feed for a layup or dunk.
I love this article. This is what I like to read!
Have you guys seen the Klay Thompson/PBS Logo comparison?
I like the plan. And what we have been doing for the past two games is clearly not working.
As long as Kyrie is on this team, Cavs will never win anything.
This is not true
Have we gotten the benefit of one close call during the (very limited) time the games have been up for grabs? It’s such a killer to have points stolen on missed goaltends, missed over the back/flagrant 1 calls turning into a 3 point play, blown travel calls, blown possession calls, missed fouls on layups that their players get like clockwork… Feels like it’s been about 20 to 2 on getting meaningful 50/50 calls.
The problem is we tried to do what OKC did to the Warriors but we don’t have the personnel and they don’t try that hard on defense to begin with. At least this way, maybe we can outgun the Warriors or make them so tired from having to actually try on defense that their offense slows down.
Excellent work, as usual, David. Could not agree more, with your thiughts on defense, and offense. It’s been way too easy for GS on both sides of the ball. Really tired of them having a layup line for big chunks of the game because someone got lost on a switch.
Cavstheblog is 100% the best
Yep. Go back to normal defense. Play for the good shot, not the great shot.