Central Division Preview
2018-09-26[Editor’s Note: This is the final installment of our annual six part series of division previews. If you missed the Pacific Division, Northwest Division, Southwest Division, Southeast Division, or Atlantic Division previews, click on the links.]
While the departure of LeBron James might have had the largest impact on the Cavs, the entirety of the Eastern Conference felt the tremors. And, though the primary contenders for the crown seemingly reside in the Atlantic Division… the recipients of two fewer encounters with the Chosen One per year exist in the suddenly, and completely, up for grabs Central.
As usual, we’ll exclude Cleveland here, and save the home team for their own dedicated post, leaving us to take a closer look at the other four mid-western grinders that remain…
Chicago Bulls
Additions: Antonius Cleveland (claimed off waivers), Jabari Parker (free agent), Wendell Carter Jr. (drafted No. 7), Chandler Hutchison (drafted No. 22)
Subtractions: Jerian Grant (traded to Magic), Sean Kilpatrick (waived), David Nwaba (signed with Cavaliers), Quincy Pondexter (signed with Spurs), Julyan Stone (traded from Hornets, then waived), Noah Vonleh (signed with Knicks), Paul Zipser (waived)
Outlook: Based on the pictured beverage, it seems like the Austrian power drink purveyors might have some ‘splainin’ to do. I mean, I’m sure a 40 of malt liquor would probably “give you wings” too. So, what does that have to do with the Chicago Bulls (other than the obvious mascot tie-in)? Well, one is powerful… and the other is power full… as in full of power forwards.
Yeah, that’s right. The Bulls have not one… not two… not three… but four PFs they’re going to have to find playing time for this season. Of course, they can probably try the sizable Carter, Jr. (6’10, 251) at the five, and see if the oft-injured Parker can man the three, but does that still leave a contributor like Bobby Portis nailed to the bench or on the trading block? Yes, the Bulls seem rife with young big man talent, with second year pro Lauri Markkanen leading the charge. But, what about the back court? Chicago bullishly matched the four year, $78M offer sheet on Zach LaVine… saving him from the basketball abattoir that is the Kings. However, you’ve got to wonder just how smart it is to have $118M committed to two dudes (Parker and LaVine) coming off knee injuries. This is also probably Kris Dunn’s make or break season.
What success looks like: Once they parted ways with Jimmy Butler before last season, it was clear the Bulls were full participants in the tank-a-thon race to the bottom of the East. They managed to find a budding star in Markkanen, but had a lost season of LaVine. This year seems like more of the same with another step forward. If they can find some chemistry between the surprising Carter, Jr. and the big Fin in the front court, that will be a huge win. Meanwhile, if the ACL brothers (Parker and LaVine) can stay healthy, they could vault the baby Bulls into relevance… though probably not quite playoff contention.
Cavalier Theft Targets: Portis would be a solid get given his size, rebounding ability and still friendly salary, although the Cavs already kinda have that guy in Larry Nance, Jr. Outside of him, most of the Bulls are either young and unavailable or expensive and injury prone. Justin Holiday is no Jrue, but still might be worth a flyer as an outside gunner. Antonius Cleveland could also be a waiver wire watch, not just because of the name… but because he does stuff like this…
Preseason Grade: Three crying Jordan memes… one for what they paid for fragile ACLs, one for winning too many games for another top pick, and a third for the fact that Jimmy Butler is ironically exactly the player they could use to lead these guys now… I hear he’s available again.
Record Prediction: 35-47
Detroit Pistons
Additions: Jose Calderon (free agent), Zaza Pachulia (free agent), Glenn Robinson III (free agent), Khyri Thomas (drafted No. 38), Bruce Brown (drafted No. 42), Dwane Casey (head coach)
Subtractions: Dwight Buycks (waived), James Ennis III (signed with Rockets), Eric Moreland (waived), Anthony Tolliver (signed with Timberwolves)
Outlook: The Stroh Brewing company started making beer in the 1800s, and was long a staple of Detroit’s economy. Sadly, the company was split up in 2000, and what remains is headquartered in Los Angeles now. Which is where the Pistons sent the bulk of their cap flexibility before the trading deadline last season in their blockbuster deal to snag Blake Griffin from the Clippers. The apparent risk of taking on Griffin’s hefty max deal seemed initially mitigated by an immediate five game win streak that got Pistons fans hopeful for a playoff run. Unfortunately for them, it was followed by a 3-13 stretch that effectively dashed those hopes before Blake got shut down with eight games remaining.
Yes, it was a lost season for a team that was desperately trying to reverse its two year trend in the wrong direction. The hail mary acquisition of Griffin added to their star power, yet all but capped them out (thus the bottle cap pic). Given that they have about $85M tied up in four players (Griffin, Andre Drummond, Reggie Jackson, and yes… Jon Leuer), only two of which have been All-Stars, they had little pocket change left over in the off season. Which is why they had to fill in the edges with guys like ZaZa Patchouli Oil and the old Cajoled Senõr himself, Jose Calderon. Though, there was some tangible upside too. Detroit finally parted ways with the Angry Hedgehog, Stan Van Gundy, while bringing in reigning Coach of the Year, Dwane Casey. Also, despite having to ship out their first round pick in the Griffin trade, the Pistons may have gotten some decent value picks in the second round with Khyri Thomas and Bruce Brown.
What success looks like: The playoffs… I guess? Blake Griffin has found himself in the Black Mirror version of his old Clippers team… with Andre Drummond in the more earthbound, slightly better free-throw shooting DJ role, and Reggie Jackson in the Kirkland brand version of CP3. Maybe Dwane Casey can cajole something special out of this hodge-podge of pricey vets and unproven youth, but it’s hard to imagine them shooting higher than a 6-8 seed. But, maybe that’s enough.
Cavalier Theft Targets: I mean… we probably got the best version of old man Calderon last year. So, maybe Stanley Johnson? Honestly, that’s about all I can come up with unless one of their youngsters like Luke Kennard, Brown or Thomas doesn’t pan out. Wait… I’ve got it… Larry Drew II, so he can play for his dad.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NFwDTE4kEE4
Preseason Grade: Kia Optimas for everyone! (y’know, since we’re on a budget here).
Record Prediction: 43-39
Indiana Pacers
Additions: Tyreke Evans (free agent), Doug McDermott (free agent), Kyle O’Quinn (free agent), Aaron Holiday (drafted No. 23), Alize Johnson (drafted No. 50)
Subtractions: Al Jefferson (waived), Alex Poythress (waived), Glenn Robinson III (signed with Pistons), Lance Stephenson (signed with Lakers)
Outlook: Steely. Kind of like the sturdy old oil can style containers that once held Hoosier beer. That’s maybe the best adjective for these Indiana Pacers. They were the legit surprise team for most of last season… and, that included the post-season. Outside of the Finals, the first round tangle with Indy might just have been the Cavaliers’ toughest test of the playoffs. Thanks to Nate McMillan’s coaching style, a long-awaited star turn from Victor Oladipo, and some truly gritty defense, the Pacers adopted a never-say-die attitude that served them well in the wake of Paul George’s departure.
All they did this off-season was sneakily get even better by upgrading their weak spots. Instead of Lance Stephenson’s semi-controlled brand of crazy… they have Tyreke Evans’ dynamism. Replacing Glenn Robinson’s streaky outside shooting with Doug McDermott’s less streaky outside shooting. And, turning Al Jefferson’s limited mobility into Kyle O’Quinn’s rebounding ferocity. Not a bad underdog kind of summer. Add in a solid potential back up rookie PG in the next Holiday brother, and things could get pretty interesting in Indy.
What success looks like: Oladipo continues his late-blooming meteoric rise into All Star-dom, leading a core group of Myles Turner, Domanatas Sabonis, Bojan Bogdanovic, Darren Collison and Nate Smith All Star, Thad Young into a (surprise) top three playoff seed in the East. Indy again becomes the team that nobody wants to face… since they consistently beat the odds… and, they just might steal your golden trophy with their gritty bag of sand…
Cavalier Theft Targets: Pickings are slim for the Cavs here, since the Pacers probably won’t be looking to do many favors for the team that knocked them out of the playoffs last year. Also, there’s not a lot of young targets outside of Sabonis, Turner and Holiday… and all three are probably not touchable. One blockbuster idea around the trade deadline might be a swap of Kevin Love for Bogdanovic, Young and a first rounder, which could put Indy over the top, while giving the Cavs competitive flexibility.
Preseason Grade: Coach Norman Dale’s speech on infinite repeat… set to maximum volume.
Record Prediction: 52-30
Milwaukee Bucks
Additions: Pat Connaughton (free agent), Ersan Ilyasova (free agent), Brook Lopez (free agent), Donte DiVincenzo (drafted No. 17), Mike Budenholzer (head coach)
Subtractions: Brandon Jennings (waived), Jabari Parker (signed with Bulls)
Outlook: You might think from the Old Milwaukee slogan above that I like the Bucks’ chances this season. Well, see… there’s two ways to read the phrase “It Doesn’t Get Any Better Than This.” The one I’m going for is that we may have already seen peak Milwaukee. Sure, Giannis Antetokounmpo will undoubtedly continue on his upward trajectory in his quest to supplant LeBron as the best player in the game. Yet, it didn’t seem so long ago that we were calling these dudes the “young Bucks.” Or, maybe it was, since they’re not so young anymore.
The tantalizing pairing of Giannis and Jabari Parker fizzled after too many knee surgeries for the latter. The Bucks brought in Eric Bledsoe to bolster their back court when guys like former ROY, Malcolm Brogdon, and NBA Champion, Matthew Dellavedova, seemingly weren’t cutting it. But, Bledsoe looked old and slow at times. Guys like John Henson (27) and Tony Snell (almost 27) also feel like they’ve been around forever. So, what did they do this summer? Why, added a couple more relative geezers to the mix in Brook Lopez (30) and Irsan Ilyasova (31). Obviously, I’m exaggerating for effect, but you get what I mean when I say this team is on it’s way to becoming an Older Milwaukee. They still have Khris Middleton to help Giannis with the scoring load, and new blood like Donte DiVincenzo should keep them feeling at least a little young. But, the deer should start to fear the beer…
What success looks like: This has to be the year the Bucks break through to be a top four seed in the East on the freakishly long limbs of Giannis. Having home court in round one and getting to the ECF is probably their ceiling, and that’s not a terrible place to end up. It might even keep The Alphabet from becoming next year’s poster child for demanding a trade with years still left on his contract.
Cavalier Theft Targets: You mean, aside from NBA Champion, Matthew Dellavedova? (you’re welcome, Nate…). Possibly Bledsoe since he’s an expiring deal and might be a better fit than George Hill. I’ve also been a fan of Brogdon, who is still young and cheap enough to be a guy worth taking a look at, especially since he might be eclipsed by DiVincenzo (man the Bucks have a ton of PGs!)
Preseason Grade: Bambi… watching his mom run through the forest one last time…
Record Prediction: 48-34
Stay tuned for our Cavs Season Preview… and get ready for the ’18-19 season… it’s just around the corner!
GO CAVS!
Come on guys, take it easy on Waiters. Everyone knows the camera adds 35lbs.
Gilbert going and trading for Jimmy Butler would be the perfect way to ruin this new era. A very Gilbert-like thing to do.
Dion’s contract is one of the worst in basketball right now. https://twitter.com/AmicoHoops/status/1045157748688781312?s=19
EG, this was fantastic. I missed your writing! Your line about Reggie Jackson being Kirkland brand CP3 slayed me. I agree with you about the Bulls why in God’s named they signed Parker is beyond me. It literally makes no sense with who they drafted. Put me in the camp that would like to see Delly come home and Kyle go to Milwaukee if they decide to move him, and I’d take Brogdon in a heartbeat. Put me down for a three-all-star Pacers’ squad, with Oladipo, Evans (if he plays like last year), and Turner. Round that out with a… Read more »
Thanks Nate! Good to be getting back into another NBA season!
Def want to hear that Stroh’s Forest story…
You don’t think Parker can play the three? I like the Pacers, but I can’t see them or anyone else in the east knocking off the Celtics if Kyrie and Hayward come back near their former selves and they have any minute semblance of chemistry come playoff time. Their starting five is just too stacked. Add to that Rozier, Smart, Morris, Baynes off the bench and they have oodles more talent than anyone else in the east in my opinion. Sure it is an on paper observation, but given how well they played with Kyrie last year before he went… Read more »
Also second getting either Brogdon for a solid youngish guy that will be solid for a number of years or Delly for his locker room impact/building a winning culture. Minimally, he will make Sexton work even harder in practice.
I’m not convinced that Parker can close out on the good perimeter shooting threes in the league… but sticking him at the three, or bringing him off the bench as the three or four is probably their best bet.
I’m with you on the depth of the Celtics… and I’m not suggesting the Pacers would upset them… just that Indy will be a team that others won’t want to face until they have to given their style of play. I think they could take any of the EC teams to a long 6-7 game series…
Agree on Parker in that I don’t think they have choice. I don’t think he is slow in a straight line, but his lateral mobility may never allow him to be an average wing defender. Lowe is pretty hyped on the Celtics “big five.” Pointed to a stat where any Horford center lineup with any four of Irving, Brown, Tatum, Rozier, and/or Smart outscored opponents by 13 ppg in 276 minutes last year. Remains to be seen how Hayward fits defensively and offensively, but he was a very player and appears to have been a net average defensive player in… Read more »
Think Kyrie’s washed and never will be healthy for an extended period again. He might gut through the season for a new contract. But it will cost him effectiveness. IMO it will take Hayward a year to get back to where he was, just like George. Also. The Pacers are just better, IMO. Especially at the 1,2,and 4.
And no. I don’t think Parker can play the three.
Could be. I always thought if he shed weight he might be able to. He could just be a far less healthy much better version of Derrick Williams I guess.
If Iriving is donezo and Hayward is a shell this year, Pacers are probably better. If both those guys come back I am not putting Collison as better than Irving. Rozier might be better than Collison too. Dipo could end up/likely is the best player on either team right now. Pacers also could negate the small ball Horford at five lineups or they could get torched by the shooting. Will be interesting. Celtics ceiling is way up there though if every rolls right for them.
Come back near their previous effectiveness.
We’re doomed
https://www.cleveland.com/cavs/index.ssf/2018/09/who_is_cleveland_cavaliers_sec_1.html#incart_river_index
Honestly though… if Hood’s gonna be on the team, it might as well be doing something useful that he can handle… like being a volume scorer. Otherwise, they should just cut him…
I know. I just can’t shake the feeling that he’s playing for a contract and impeding Cedi’s progress. Also stealing minutes from the high upside Nwaba.
Maybe, although Ty has said he’s going to play Cedi predominantly at the three and Hood at the two… Look, if Hood can somehow regain the confidence he had when he was averaging 16ppg for the Jazz now that the pressure of not screwing up on LeBron’s team is gone, then I think we’d all be happy with that.
Hood is a dead end because of his defense. I hope you are right he won’t take minutes from Cedi.
I think, with the exception of guys like JR, TT, Korver, Hill and Frye… the jury is out on the younger players. Who knows what a fresh start in a non-LBJ-centric offense, and defense, might glean… I’m willing to have an open mind about it… for at least 10-15 games lol…
I suppose, but when I look at what Jazz fans said about him and his dBPM and BPM stats from Utah, and his defense with the cavs, I think we may have seen what he is. Also 3 boards per game for his career for a 6’8″ guy. Yikes. He just seems so one dimensional and bad at everything but being a mildly effective volume scorer.
I have seen enough of Clarkson. In fact, I thought I saw something about him playing in China this summer and was ecstatic thinking the cavs had cut him.
Off to a good start /s
https://twitter.com/TheJeffSchwartz/status/1045000057676857345
LOL…..enjoy the Laker media circus, Bron.
Good stuff. Fire brewed Stroh’s in the 15 pack. Not.
Why does Indy only play 77 games?
Sorry, my math is sometimes bad at 2am… should be 52-30. Will fix when I get home.
Bring back Delly! I desperately want to see him and Cedi hound folks all day long.
He belongs with us!
TY ALREADY IN MID SEASON FORM –(QUOTES )–” WE ARE GOING TO PLAY WITH PACE—FASTER PACE “—–WE NEVER HEARD THAT BEFORE HAVE WE ——BUY TY A P.O.C. / HAVEN’T HAD ONE OF THOSE IN AGES –ONE OF MY DAD’S FAVORITES —-ALTHOUGH ROLLING ROCK WAS HIS TOPS / FOR 80+ YRS
He’s got tape to watch, I’m sure…
On Lue, Ha! Believe that when I see it. I think seeing how the difference, if there is any, in the offensive system, and the defensive preparation/effort will be the most interesting part of watching the cavs this year for me. Is Lue a creative offensive coach who couldn’t institute a system because of LBJ? Or was there no system to install? Was the defense a product of the relaxed regular season approach endemic to LBJ teams of recent memory, or because prepping a team defensively and offensively was too much for Lue to game plan for. How much more… Read more »
dion never could finish at the rim —( looks like he FINISHED at quite a few dinner tables )—-now he won’t even be able to GET to the rim —-still love st weirdo
Fat Dion is back!
https://twitter.com/MZavagno11/status/1044742018621165568
Bwahahaha! Amazing. There’s have been some awesome twitter pics and jokes the last few previews.
Good read. I really think the Bucks are a team who should do anything they can to get Jimmy Butler. They could be a Finals team with him, if they don’t give up any critical parts.
I haven’t had Strohs since college (long time ago)…never again.
It looks like Butler now prefers to be traded to the Miami cHeat.
GREAT JOB EVIL——FUNNY STORY ON STROH’S BEER —-FEW YEARS BACK AFTER SOME BUDDIES AND MYSELF FINISHED — ( STRUGGLED )–WITH 18 HOLES OF GOLF –WE PROCEDED TO THE “19TH HOLE ” TO QUENCH OUR THIRST– ( DROWN OUT THE GOLFING MISERY )—SAW THAT THEY HAD STROHS BEER –AND I ORDERED ONE ——-THERE WAS A GREAT HUSH IN THE CLUBHOUSE- / ALL EYES WERE PEIRCED ON ME AS IF I WAS SOME ALIEN— ( EVEN MY GOLFING BUDDIES )—–BARTENDER BROUGHT IT OUT /– DUSTED IT OFF– SAID —-” I HAVE EMS SQUAD ON CALL “————-YES TO ( SO NATE CAN BE… Read more »
That’s hilarious NOMAD