{"id":24931,"date":"2014-03-11T13:37:52","date_gmt":"2014-03-11T21:37:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/?p=24931"},"modified":"2014-03-11T13:37:52","modified_gmt":"2014-03-11T21:37:52","slug":"1030-remaining-in-the-4th-quarter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/?p=24931","title":{"rendered":"10:30 Remaining in the 4th Quarter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/Spencer+Hawes+Cleveland+Cavaliers+v+Memphis+2jppFiYoecJl.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-24939\" alt=\"Spencer+Hawes+Cleveland+Cavaliers+v+Memphis+2jppFiYoecJl\" src=\"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/Spencer+Hawes+Cleveland+Cavaliers+v+Memphis+2jppFiYoecJl-520x334.jpg\" width=\"468\" height=\"301\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/Spencer+Hawes+Cleveland+Cavaliers+v+Memphis+2jppFiYoecJl-520x334.jpg 520w, https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/Spencer+Hawes+Cleveland+Cavaliers+v+Memphis+2jppFiYoecJl-300x192.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/Spencer+Hawes+Cleveland+Cavaliers+v+Memphis+2jppFiYoecJl.jpg 594w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 468px) 100vw, 468px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Remember early in the season, when I started writing <a title=\"a series\" href=\"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/?cat=198\" target=\"_blank\">a series <\/a>comparing the 2013 &#8211; 2014 season to one game?\u00a0 No?\u00a0 Fair enough, seeing as I skipped the 2nd and 3rd quarters.\u00a0 Well with the Cavs entering the final frame, things look bleak.\u00a0 They are down by twenty, and the other team&#8217;s starters are checking back in.\u00a0 Every brief bright spot is quickly followed by harrowing darkness.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>When the Cavs traded for Spencer Hawes, my reaction was &#8220;Can I wait to make up my mind until April?&#8221;\u00a0 I don&#8217;t dislike Hawes, but the trade certainly wasn&#8217;t a slam dunk.\u00a0 And now, it&#8217;s not looking so hot.\u00a0 Why?\u00a0 Because the team has two wins and seven losses since then.\u00a0 And that is while experiencing the best Spencer Hawes that has ever Hawesed; his true shooting percentage, rebound rate,\u00a0and turnover rate are all\u00a0at, or near career bests\u00a0during these nine games. \u00a0With the next ten games either on the road and \/ or against playoff teams, the Cavs may\u00a0become a\u00a0four win and fifteen loss\u00a0team\u00a0really quick since the addition of their stretch-five.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0And for it, the young Cavaliers, once basking in cap flexibility and draft picks, are soon moving towards having neither.\u00a0\u00a0 The team possesses only two future draft picks besides their own.\u00a0 Regarding Hawes, all they have after this failed season is the\u00a0ability to offer him a lot of money, with\u00a0hopes that\u00a0he signs&#8230;the same ability they had whether the trade happened or not.\u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Kyrie Irving, Jarrett Jack, Anthony Bennett, Tristan Thompson, Dion Waiters, Tyler Zeller, and Sergey Karasev combine to earn $32 million next year.\u00a0 Throw in at least $4 million of Andy&#8217;s guaranteed contract, and $9.8 million if they pick up his option, plus Hawes at say, $8 million, and a draft pick in the six to ten range, and the team nears $50 million, limiting them to $10 million-ish\u00a0for five more players.\u00a0\u00a0All that for\u00a0the team that is about to win\u00a0five of their most recent 20 games, with the only addition being a new 19 or 20 year old, \u00a0some\u00a0(hopefully) healthy Andy, and a small free agent haul.\u00a0 Starting in 2015 &#8211; 2016, Kyrie&#8217;s extension will presumably begin, which if he is voted an All-Star starter again next year,\u00a0could start in the $19 million range.\u00a0 If the team also signs Tristan to an extension this offseason, maybe also $8 million per year, in that scenario\u00a0the total 2015 &#8211; 2016 salaries of Kyrie, Jack, Tristan, Dion, Bennett, Zeller, Hawes, Karasev, and 21-year old second year guy\u00a0is $59 million.\u00a0\u00a0Likely around 95% of the salary cap, so if the team is going to make any sort of free agent splash or add salary via trade, it would need to be this summer.\u00a0 Cleveland, this may be\u00a0your team.\u00a0 How far is that group going?<\/p>\n<p>More than ever, the rebuild will fall\u00a0on the franchise&#8217;s ability to coax the sum of the youngsters into <em>a lot<\/em> more than they are currently producing.\u00a0 Unfortunately, they also aren&#8217;t getting any younger,\u00a0and the Cavs&#8217; track record for developing this group looks\u00a0awfully spotty.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s brainstorm some ideas on how to change course.\u00a0 I&#8217;ll throw some out there.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>I hate to say it, because I don&#8217;t want it to end like this, but\u00a0waive Andy this off-season.\u00a0\u00a0If the team\u00a0decides to hitch it&#8217;s\u00a0wagon to Hawes, Thompson, Zeller and Bennett, turning Andy into $6 million of additional\u00a0cap space\u00a0will be beneficial to chase\u00a0some quality wing depth this summer.\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>Trade Andy.\u00a0 The return won&#8217;t be great now, and may only amount to a contract that another team wants to part with.\u00a0 As a crazy alternative, what if the Cavs could trade Andy&#8217;s largely non-guaranteed contract, Jarrett Jack, plus the 7th pick in the 2014 draft for&#8230;a strong\u00a0wing.\u00a0 This helps clear the glut in the backcourt and frontcourt, while filling the team&#8217;s greatest remaining team.<\/li>\n<li>Don&#8217;t sign Hawes.\u00a0 Retain Andy.\u00a0 Sign a low priced fifth big and maybe\u00a0draft\u00a0one\u00a0with Orlando&#8217;s\u00a02nd rounder, too. Then spend the remaining available free agent dollars on say&#8230;Trevor Ariza and Channing Frye.<\/li>\n<li>Trade Tristan.\u00a0 Maybe trying to build around a power forward that isn&#8217;t a ridiculous athlete or a three point shooter is not the right idea.\u00a0\u00a0 Could the Cavs trade TT for something like Wayne Ellington, Shane Larkin and a draft pick?\u00a0 That restores some cap flexibility and slightly restocks the hoard of future draft picks.<\/li>\n<li>Trade Dion.\u00a0 Maybe he and Kyrie don&#8217;t figure it out.\u00a0 This would definitely be a way to shake things up.\u00a0 I am not sure what the return is though.<\/li>\n<li>Make a &#8220;godfather&#8221; offer for a disgruntled star.\u00a0 Whatever the other team wants&#8230;Dion, Tristan, Bennett, Karasev, Zeller, the 2014 lottery pick, other picks&#8230;anything to acquire a second &#8220;star&#8221;.\u00a0 Then try to lure a third\u00a0&#8220;star&#8221; to Cleveland to play with Kyrie and &#8220;Other Star X&#8221;.<\/li>\n<li>Fire Mike Brown.\u00a0 Surely some people support this plan.<\/li>\n<li>Trade Kyrie.\u00a0\u00a0Some people will say this is crazy.\u00a0 Say the Cavs sign Kyrie to a max extension this summer, including a kicker to &#8220;super-max&#8221; if he is voted an All-Star starter again.\u00a0 With one vote from the fans, Kyrie becomes a 5 year, $100 million player.\u00a0 Is he worth that?\u00a0 How many guys in the NBA will make that deal look like a great value?\u00a0 Lebron and Durant?\u00a0 Chris Paul if he is healthy?\u00a0 Besides those few, it\u00a0is\u00a0tying up a lot of money on a guy that as\u00a0a best case,\u00a0provides only\u00a0proper value.\u00a0 With injuries, or malcontentedness, that deal begins looking real pricey, real fast.\u00a0\u00a0 What if Kyrie really doesn&#8217;t\u00a0want to be in Cleveland and it is a distraction for four more years?\u00a0 In this super max scenario, the Cavs are basically buying into the thought that Kyrie Irving is a transcendent, top five of all time point guard, happy, and healthy.\u00a0 Maybe\u00a0instead of that\u00a0gamble,\u00a0it is worth looking into trades.<\/li>\n<li>Give it time and hope like hell that the best cases for Kyrie, Tristan, Dion, Zeller, Karasev, Bennett, and 2014 #7 pick\u00a0work out.\u00a0 I&#8217;ve been doing this since last spring though, and doing so any longer makes me feel stupid.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Ultimately, giving Kyrie a max extension, Tristan a\u00a0new deal,\u00a0signing Hawes, and not managing to shake anything\u00a0else up\u00a0looks like an easy\u00a0trip towards building a\u00a0team with\u00a0a\u00a0ceiling of second-round playoff ville.\u00a0 What is Plan B?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Remember early in the season, when I started writing a series comparing the 2013 &#8211; 2014 season to one game?\u00a0&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":88,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[198],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-24931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-2013-2014"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24931","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/88"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=24931"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24931\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24941,"href":"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24931\/revisions\/24941"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=24931"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=24931"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=24931"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cavstheblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcoauthors&post=24931"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}