Links to the Present: Westbrook’s Time
2015-03-10I’d be lying if I said I was just watching the Cavs lately. I’ve been stepping out. It’s okay though. The Wine & Gold have won seven of their last ten and have a record of 40 wins and 25 losses. The team’s losses came against a hot Hawks team, a lucky Rockets team, and a surging Pacers team (more below). The Cavs are second in the East. The Raptors, who are in third, and the Bulls, who are in fourth, are both riding three and four game losing streaks respectively. The Cavs look pretty secure right now. So, yeah, I’ve checked out the West. And, well, the West is pretty.Â
Tomorrow, the Cavs are playing the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks have 41 wins and sit in the sixth spot in the West. Imagine if they were in the East.The Oklahoma City Thunder are in the eighth spot out West with 35 wins (as opposed to Charlotte Hornets in the East with only 28 wins). The Pelicans and Suns are just below them by less than three wins each. Russell Westbrook is doing every thing he can to keep the Thunder ahead. As long as the Thunder sit in the eighth spot or even higher, they will be wearing down serious finals contenders while contending for a spot themselves.
Russ has five triple-doubles in his last six games. The last one two nights ago came while wearing a protective face mask. He’s channelling the Mask saying, “Somebody stop me!” Chris Bernucca of Sheridan Hoops believes in the Westbrook ride, but he doesn’t think it’s the best ride in the NBA. He’s all about James Harden.
Both players are doing some heavy lifting in the absence of an injured superstar. In 21 games without Durant, Westbrook is averaging 31.1 points, 7.5 rebounds and 9.0 assists, numbers that have made a quantum leap in the last 10 contests without the reigning MVP. But in 30 games without Dwight Howard – that’s right, 30 – Harden hasn’t exactly been a slouch, averaging 28.5 points, 6.2 rebounds and 7.1 assists.
But here’s the most important number. When Westbrook plays and Durant doesn’t, the Thunder are 12-9. Not terrible by any stretch, but a pace that would still have them eighth in the West. When Harden plays and Howard doesn’t, the Rockets are a spiffy 20-10, a pace just outside the West’s top four.
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And, while it’s easy to point to Russ’s triple-double run as the highlight of his season, that’s wrong. Adam Yudelman of Nylon Calculus explains in his piece. He uses “Kevin Ferrigan’s DRE, or Daily RAPM Estimate, statistic (find the full explanation here)”:
On the x-axis, 1 refers to Westbrook’s first four games in which he played, 2 refers to games two through five, and so on. The triple double games are data point 36. This shows that Westbrook’s streak is in no way peak Westbrook. Our fascination with nice, round numbers and arbitrary milestones has pulled a critical mass of attention to the human wrecking ball known as Russell, but Westbrook has been putting up RIDICULOUS numbers all year.
I’m pro Westbrook. His February stats of 31.2 PPG, 9.1 RPG and 10.3 APG games are amazing. When people say that Michael Jordan has had a better statistical run than Russ, I say, “I don’t care.”  Westbrook has now become the first NBA player since Jordan to post four consecutive triple-doubles. (Jordan stopped at seven.) However, here’s my biggest argument for Westbrook: He’s just 6’3” and he’s getting all those rebounds. How tall was Jordan?
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Jason Lloyd of the Akron Beacon Journal has some post trade Cavs stats to blow your mind. The Cavs are jacking up threes at the expense of layups, but they are 20-5, since they started doing so.
From Jan. 15 until now, when the season began to turn with the win at the Los Angeles Lakers, the Cavs have plunged to 19th in the NBA in shots from the restricted area (25 per game). Their 3-point attempts above the break, meanwhile, have soared to 23.3. That’s the most in the league during that time.
I always wanted to pay a big man who can play in the post 15 million a year to take threes. At least the team is winning, Kevin Love.
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The hottest take of the week is from Chris Sheridan, owner of Sheridan Hoops. He is seriously picking the Spurs to make the finals.
We have gotten a small sample size of it over the first few days of March, and with five weeks now remaining in the season, I will be so bold as to predict that San Antonio will finish with one of the top four records in the West and end up defending their title in Game 1 of the first round on their home floor.
I’ll hold my snarky comment for after the Cavs-Spurs game on Thursday evening.
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Rob Mahoney of Sports Illustrated wrote about the resurgence of the Indiana Pacers last week. They have won their last five games, and they are the seventh seed in the East. George Hill’s return and a steady defense are why.
Hill’s short work this season has been more spectacular than most know. Very quietly the 28-year-old guard has managed his best season to date – a mature, composed effort on a team that needs him desperately. His role has changed with the times. No longer is Hill a mere game manager for a post-centric outfit, but a genuine creator who draws more than 40 percent of his own possession usage from the pick-and-roll, per Synergy Sports. In those scenarios, Hill maxes out his efficiency not through explosion, but precision. Only one other player in the league to tally 50 pick-and-roll possessions or more has registered as low of a turnover rate on those plays as Hill.
Roy Hibbert, a slow lumbering giant, has anchored the Pacer’s defense. He’s getting 1.8 blocks a game and holding opponents to 42.2% shooting at the rim.
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His dinosaur like demeanor actually exists at the same as this creature who is also seven feet tall.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a1iunhwzTG0
Joel Embiid of the 76ers is the big man of the future. Embiid still hasn’t played in the league, but eventually he will. He’s going to take on the roll of Terminator, and Hibbert will be a large unattractive version of Sarah Connor. This time the T-800 Model 101 will complete his mission.
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Finally, the obligatory Nick Young piece. This one came out less than 48 hours ago.
Nick Young’s Dad said this about him: “There is no player in the NBA more serious about Basketball than Nick Young.” And, Nick likes Iron Maiden if you believe you love whatever T-Shirts you put on to increase your swag rating. His house also has a mural on the wall that says Swaggy P and Iggy. He’s the coolest man in the Association. Nick’s basketball story starts very tragically, but it’s going pretty well for him now. I really recommend all of these origin videos.
Earl’s Pearl of the Week
Hassan Whiteside has been going nuts lately and not in a basketball way. Against the Suns, last week, he got ejected after a tussle with center Alex Len. The Heat won that game.
And, just last night Whiteside got ejected for taking out Kelly Olynyk of the Celtics. The Celtics won 100-90.
Now the world knows why Whiteside may have been out of the NBA for essentially four years. J.R. Smith once struggled with attitude issues. He untied people’s shoes habitually, but he has turned himself around for the Cavs. Whiteside needs to cut his violent tendencies for the betterment of Heat. If he doesn’t, his double leg takedown of Len hints at a possible UFC career. David Aldridge broke Hassan’s basketball story down on Monday for NBA.com.
Bottom Lines of the Week
Russell Westbrook led the Thunder against the Raptors in a 108-104 win on Sunday. He had 30 points, 11 rebounds, and 17 assists. He was 9-21 from the field. This was his fifth triple-double in six games.
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Shawn Marion may return to the Cavs during their four game road trip.
Sheridan’s Spurs pick doesn’t strike me as surprising or even that prescient. If you forced me to pick off the top of my head, I would definitely pick the Spurs. I think the biggest obstacles to their repeat as WC champs are, to me, Memphis, OKC, and Dallas… granted everyone in the West is pretty strong…. those are just “feel” picks. But, in my mind, the Spurs are going to be the team to beat, they’ve got everyone healthy at the right time, Patty Mills is playing much better, so is Leonard and Parker… Duncan’s been having a great year.… Read more »
Or if LBJ scraps Le-Iso and they move the ball
Or he may go Detroit on their butts and we’ll all go nuts!!! ;)
Kinda nitpicky but just to put it out there, Westbrook didn’t tie Jordan for most consecutive triple-doubles. Four was the most consecutive since Jordan last did it when he had SEVEN in a row.
Quite right! I’ve corrected. Thanks for the heads up.
In the 5 losses during the 20-5 run for the Cavs, they shot (and missed) an abundance of threes:
Pacers: 35 shots, 31%
Bulls: 31 shots, 26%
Pacers: 29 shots, 31%
Rockets: 40 shots, 30%
Hawks: 38 shots, 34%
That’s an average of 35 three point shots at a clip of 30% in the five losses. Live by the three, die by the three…
What was the average number of shots in the wins versus the losses?
While I don’t have the time or means to break down all of the numbers you’re referencing, Nate, I did a quick calculation of the Cavs volume and percentage of threes in the 21 victories during the same stretch that Lloyd references.
The average number of threes taken drops to 29 and the percentage rises to 38%…
To gauge the effectiveness of three point shooting, one need look at three things: shooting percentages and points per shot for three point shots versus other shots, offensive rebound rate in possessions with a three point shot versus possessions with other shots, and points per play by opponents in post three-point shot possessions (possessions where opponents got defensive rebounds) versus other shots..
I’d love to see those stats.
me too. i dont have the time to crunch it. i bet some media types have research divisions that could pull it off. nate’s points are correct. reminds me of when the high school i went to had to play against future buckeye greg simpson. they had alot of things to say about facing a gunner. simpson still lit them up and it felt like the team just “moved the goal posts” so to speak. sometimes the crunched numbers reflect only luck. with the cavs now, i will take luck and bigs who can get long rebounds or the 50/50… Read more »
Part of me is hoping that Blatt has a secret plan for using Love and Moz in the post for the playoffs. He’s waiting to reveal his master plan. No one will be prepared for the onslaught. Fingers crossed.
Well at least your not alone on that thought. I have been thinking that same thought lately. Cmon the fans can’t be the only ones who see how effective this would be.
If we see it, someone in the Cavs organization must! Seriously, I watch a LOT of basketball, but it isn’t my job. Here’s to hoping the actual coaches and the rest of the Cavs front office knows more than we do. Honestly, i wouldn’t even consider this a possibility, except, you know, the Browns…
I’m hoping/thinking the same thing.
Le-Iso tho…… they are perfect decoys for Le-Iso. I don’t know how much Blatt has to say about playing otherwise, no matter how much he may want to and is capable of conjuring masterful plays and sets to utilize Love and Moz…….
in the end, Le-Iso yo…….
Sometimes, I wonder if Lebron knows how capable his supporting cast really is…. best he’s ever had.
I think he has to know… I thought LBJ responded very well against PHX after ATL. Great ball movement against PHX. And I think he’s smart enough to see how they were owned by ATL’s offense.
I think/hope LBJ’s isolation plays will pay off in close games in crunch time during the playoffs. I think he will rise to the challenge of leading the squad.
just wondering what is going thru dion’s mind — 1ST LBJ / NOW WESTBROOK—-‘ hey man can’t you see i’m open ” ( dion’s in the wing hands clapping for the ball )—someone mentioned that simmons is on his ” bandwagon again ” on the poor usage that the cavs are showing LOVE —is he actively recruiting him for the Celtics —–what a jerk !!!
i doubt that love takes the celtics seriously. simmons can recruit all he wants. when the cap space clears than we can see who has the best shot at love. knicks and lakers will make the best push i am sure. i still think he will sign with the cavs. doesnt mean the cavs brass wont sweat it out though.
What Westbrook is doing would be more impressive if his team wasn’t .500 while he was doing it… They are 3-3 in the six game stretch where he’s gone off, and two of the wins were against cellar-dwellers in the Lakers and Sixers (and it took OT to beat the Sixers). The problem with Russ when he gets in this mode is what many complain about here with LBJ… too much ISO and not enough getting teammates involved.
wonder if dion did any clap for the ball while standing behind the arc during this stretch? bud i do agree that iso ball can be a stats pad for triple doubles. he still needs to pass and get rebounds but the points part he has been a lock
Agree.
Before KD went down, the media was kissing up to Presti for all of his trade deadline moves, and talking about how the Thunder had their deepest roster yet. Then KD goes, down, RW goes off, but the team sucks, and everyone says, “well, it’s not RW fault – he has a terrible supporting cast.” Which one is it?
I just heard the best encapsulation of how stupid the national media is on the Westbrook stuff. Simmons, on his podcast with Lowe, just suggested that OKC is going to have to re-think Durant’s role when he comes back, given how amazing Westbrook has been. WHAT!?!?!?
The team is MUCH WORSE with Westbrook going nuts and no KD. Why on earth would you want to change KD’s role? People are crazy.
I can top that… on 710AM out here in LA, Mason and Ireland just speculated that Sam Presti, if he can’t get Durant to sign the mini-max deal extension this summer, would instead look to trade Durant this summer rather than get nothing for him in free agency next summer. They then went on to speculate that the most logical landing spot for Durant in such a trade would be the Lakers… Just madness and general LA media stupidity…
They traded Harden. Who is to say that wouldn’t trade KD if it appears he might bolt? Sounds crazy, but who knows?
They weren’t offering Harden the max, nor were they offering him a starting role. Durant will obviously get all of that in OKC, and will also obviously wait until free agency to get the full contract that he deserves. OKC won’t trade him as long as they have their core of Russ and Ibaka unless it’s obvious that he’s leaving, as that would indicate to their other stars that they were rebuilding. Going to LA would only happen if there was a more talented core and without proven ownership, it’s hard to imagine that a guy as good as Durant… Read more »
Hit the nail on the head there, EG… It must be defeating for all of his teammates every time Russ walks up the court, drives and pulls up for a midrange jumper only to miss it, all within 5-10 seconds of a 24 second clock… and everybody has run back on defense.
Yuck on Hibbert. I hate watching him play basketball.
What Westbrook is doing is awesome. The Cavs have the best differential since LBJ came back so even though they are shooting a lot of threes, it’s working.
And yes, we need to pay Kevin Love the max. He isn’t leaving if we do.
Completely agree on paying love. The man is so intelligent on the basketball court, from the way he positions his body to shield defenders opening up passing lanes to the post and cutters, to his passing, and spacing on the court. The man knows how to play the game. Without a doubt we offer him the max. Intelligent players who use their brain as much as their skill, andddd who don’t rely on athleticism to an extent, age very well in this league. I personally don’t think kevin is even in his prime yet. And yes the excuse that he… Read more »
I agree… paying Love the max is a no-brainer.
If he’s heading towards the max, I’m hoping he starts playing and hitting shots in the 4th quarter more.
Him not playing can be chalked up as blatt’s continual education of this team. Shots will fall, everybody has ups and downs. Personally I’d much rather pay kevin love max money then draymond green. Don’t get me wrong draymonds a gamer, but with the increasing possibility that he gets paid the max Id much rather pay love.
And that’s no knock on blatt, love him. Wait til the playoffs!!
Agree with you both U-Dog and Cincymusings, regarding all that has been said.
Watched it a few times, but I’m not 100% sure Whiteside intentionally leveled Olynyk. Looks like he might have been going in for an aggressive follow, but tripped up and leaned into Olynyk. If he didn’t storm off the court if might have had a different feel. Who knows…
You can’t be serious
He might have been going for the upper back, but he was definitely going after him.
Russell’s appearance reminds me of Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
I saw the Michael Bay one this weekend. Even Rifftrax couldn’t save it. What a steaming pile…
Oh please don’t remind me, I want to remain in ’89