Eli and Chris’ Draft Preview (or, Pro-ACC Agenda)

Eli and Chris’ Draft Preview (or, Pro-ACC Agenda)

2022-05-12 Off By Chris Francis

Now that the Cavs have secured their first round pick for the 2022 NBA Draft, Eli and Chris have been busy studying the 2022 draft class and have some thoughts as we close in on the lottery, combine, and draft over the next six weeks. Here’s some excerpts from an rapid-fire email exchange answering five questions on the top of their minds:

1. Who are your top 3 prospects?

Eli: Tari Eason is a player that has grown on me. He’s a little murkier due to his age, coming off the bench, and having mostly played center at LSU despite having the athleticism to move laterally. Eason has some of the best steal and block rate numbers I’ve seen in a while and although I don’t think he’s a pure shooter, he shot 80% from the FT line and 35-36% from deep. In the NBA he could be a bigger wing who is defensive first and can make open corner threes to start.

Ousmane Dieng is a name that intrigues me. He’s an ultimate bricklayer and is definitely mostly projection at this point. His film shows me that he’s comfortable as a playmaker from the wing and he’s very very thin (think Rookie KD but thinner). Dieng is the ultimate boom or bust prospect to me but if he pans out, he can be a franchise player in my opinion due to his unique skillset at his size. He reminds me a lot of Chandler Parsons pre injury and maybe a little bit of Evan Turner/MCW. His shot needs a lot of work but as a playmaker and hypothetical defender, he really intrigues me.

For my third, it’s really between Agbaji and Jovic but I will lean with the European player. Jovic reminds me of the bigger euro player that can do a bit of everything. His shooting is pretty strong and should instantly translate. In addition, I think his ball handling and playmaking is good enough to help alleviate the pressure on Garland/LeVert/Sexton. His lack of athleticism is a little scary but I think as the game has opened up in the NBA, it’s actually somehow helped less athletic players who are really smart thrive. Hate the easy comp but the Utah players are decent comps in Bogdanovic and Ingles (get well soon).

Chris: Tari Eason: He’s the obvious “home run swing” for the Cavs to try and find that elusive “3 and D” wing. He’s got an NBA body and was extremely productive at LSU in the SEC. The main question about him basketball-wise is his decision making and awareness (16.5% career turnover rate), but he made a massive stride in that department this past season. I think a really interesting comp to Eason is current Cav Dean Wade. Eason is a better scoring and defending version of Dean Wade, to me, that’s a reasonable outcome for the 14th pick and a player that’d be helpful in a playoff situation. Another favorable comp to Eason is Dorian Finney-Smith.

Mark Williams: obvious Duke bias aside, Williams has to be a consideration because of how talented he is. He’s arguably a better college prospect than Jarrett Allen, whom we now know is an All-Star caliber center. If the Cavs have designs of acquiring a disgruntled star, Jarrett Allen is probably the bait that will be required to land such a player, or possibly Williams himself. At the very least, Williams is a massive step up from Moses Brown or Ed Davis and is the perfect injury insurance for Tower City.

Malaki Branham: Branham could be the most underrated prospect in this draft class. He has excellent production for a freshman in a major conference, and has the length to survive on the perimeter in the NBA. From a fit perspective, Branham is the ideal choice because of his ability to score at all levels of the floor as an off-guard/wing. Branham is also an upside play because of his age (19.1 years old at the time of draft).

2. Who’s one guy you like each at pick 39 and pick 56?

Eli: Here’s a name for you at 39 that I may be biased for due to school, Jake LaRavia. A big body who can do a bit of everything, I think his game could actually fit really well with the Cavs, mostly because of Evan Mobley’s versatility on the defensive end. LaRavia is not an athlete but he brings a ton of basketball IQ and skill. He averaged almost 4 assists per game as usually the tallest player for the Deacs and also shot 38% from deep. He’d fit well into the Cavs lack of shooting. A comp for LaRavia would be Davis Bertans or George Niang.

For 56 I am tempted to pick another Demon Deacon in Alondes Williams, the perfect college combo guard who May struggle in the NBA due to athleticism. But I will go with a fellow Korean player in Hyun Jung Lee. The Davidson wing is a son of two former Korean Olympians and moved to the US for college. Lee is not the quickest athlete and was asked to play a lot of Power Forward in college. However, he was a rare 50-40-90 player last season and shot 44% from deep on 5.5 attempts his sophomore year. Think of Lee as a sharpshooting specialist who will have to work on his game defensively. A comp for him is Diet Duncan Robinson.

Chris: At 39, Jabari Walker is an intriguing 3 and D wing/small ball big who was the #1 offensive option for a winning team in a major conference as a sophomore. He’s young (only 19.9 years old at draft time), got an NBA body, and can shoot, defend, and rebound. At 56, going to give you a local-ish name, Ryan Rollins, a sophomore combo guard out of Toledo. He’s young (only 20.0 years old at draft), can score, pass, and defend, has a little bit of length/size especially at point guard. He was also the number one offensive option on a winning team.
3. How many players do you think the Cavs realistically end up with?
Eli: For me, I think the ideal scenario is actually only one player. The Cavs are likely switching to a win-now mode. While I think a star like Dejounte Murray or Zach Lavine are remote possibilities, I think the Cavs would love to package LeVert/Osman/Lauri and maybe a Sexton S&T to improve the 2/3 in the Cavs lineup. A good compromise would be trading the first and latter second while using 39 as a developmental piece for maybe a 3&D guy (think guys like Dorian Finney-Smith, Tre Mann, Duncan Robinson, Herb Jones, etc.). I don’t even know what trades are possibly out there but that’s what makes the NBA so much fun.
Chris: Objectively, the Cavs have the roster space and could end up drafting and rostering all of their draft picks. Cavs’ President of Basketball Operations Koby Altman has gone on record to state that he expects Collin Sexton back. But the Cavs will still be looking to upgrade at least three spots: the backup point guards spots currently occupied by R.J. Nembhard and Brandon Goodwin, and the backup center spot currently occupied by Moses Brown. According to Chris Fedor’s reporting, the Cavs are “highly likely” to re-sign point god Ricky Rubio to one of those spots. So, my guess is that the Cavs realistically end up keeping 14 and 39, and offering a G-League/Exhibit 10 contract to the final pick. One possibility inspired by your answer is the Cavs’ choosing to “draft and stash” a European player… there’s a non-zero chance that happens.
4. Just in case the Cavs get some lottery luck, who’s your top 4? 
Chris:
1. Jabari Smith
2. Paolo Banchero
3. Keegan Murray
4. Jaden Ivey
Consider this my official start of the anti-Chet #1 Agenda. I was burned last year by a Gonzaga player last year (Jalen Suggs), so they’re on fraud watch until they join a real conference. Give me big time production in a big time conference. To be clear I think Chet will be a fine NBA pro with a long career, just wouldn’t take him #1.
Eli: Your Duke bias is strong but we’re in agreement with our top two. The Jabari Smith fit on the Cavs would be amazing. A legitimate wing-type athlete who can shoot but also help complete “Tower City”. Smith showcased the ultimate shooting stroke and could play the Markkanen role even better than Lauri did.
I’d go with:
1. Jabari
2. Paolo
3. Chet
4. Ivey
Candidly, I don’t see how Chet and Ivey fit that well but they are a top-4 talent and you have to see it through if the Cavs were to make a leap up there. I’m not as big of a hater on Chet as you but his body type does scare me a bit as he makes Mobley look stocky. However, Paolo could fit and I do like Keegan’s fit also in the “big SF” role that the Cavs utilized successfully last year.

5. Do the Cavs rookies picked this year break 20 mpg combined?

Eli: The Cavs rookies won’t play a lot but I actually think whoever the Cavs pick will have a bigger than anticipated role. If the pick is Eason or another wing that fits between SexLand and Tower City, I think the rookie will get tons of opportunity to improve with baptism by fire and that has seemed to be the MO for Koby.
Chris: Oh I 100% agree. Outside of the current starting five (DG/Caris/Lauri/Mobley/Allen), there’s a whole slew of question marks. I think core rotation backup minutes are available at any position next season. Things fell apart last season because the Cavs don’t have the depth to compete with the big boys. They need to add more talent by any means necessary.
Sound off below Commentariat, let us know your draft thoughts!
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